{"id":9737,"date":"2025-12-09T11:58:53","date_gmt":"2025-12-09T11:58:53","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/kibu.ac.ke\/sgs\/?p=9737"},"modified":"2025-12-09T12:00:15","modified_gmt":"2025-12-09T12:00:15","slug":"assessment-of-mathematical-model-for-predicting-climate-change-impact-on-water-availability-and-quality-a-swat-seir-framework","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kibu.ac.ke\/sgs\/assessment-of-mathematical-model-for-predicting-climate-change-impact-on-water-availability-and-quality-a-swat-seir-framework\/","title":{"rendered":"Assessment of Mathematical Model for Predicting Climate Change Impact on Water Availability and Quality: A SWAT-SEIR Framework"},"content":{"rendered":"\t\t<div data-elementor-type=\"wp-post\" data-elementor-id=\"9737\" class=\"elementor elementor-9737\" data-elementor-post-type=\"post\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-3c6eb75c elementor-section-full_width elementor-section-height-min-height elementor-section-items-stretch elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"3c6eb75c\" data-element_type=\"section\" id=\"ourgoal\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-3b8eadd4\" data-id=\"3b8eadd4\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-62a87b57 elementor-widget elementor-widget-theme-post-title elementor-page-title elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"62a87b57\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"theme-post-title.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h1 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Assessment of Mathematical Model for Predicting Climate Change Impact on Water Availability and Quality: A SWAT-SEIR Framework<\/h1>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-top-section elementor-element elementor-element-558850dd elementor-section-height-min-height elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-items-middle\" data-id=\"558850dd\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-no\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-100 elementor-top-column elementor-element elementor-element-d78b7c1\" data-id=\"d78b7c1\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<section class=\"elementor-section elementor-inner-section elementor-element elementor-element-62ff45b9 elementor-section-boxed elementor-section-height-default elementor-section-height-default\" data-id=\"62ff45b9\" data-element_type=\"section\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-container elementor-column-gap-default\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-33 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-4183902e elementor-invisible\" data-id=\"4183902e\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;,&quot;animation&quot;:&quot;fadeIn&quot;,&quot;animation_mobile&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-718203ac elementor-widget__width-auto elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"718203ac\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">2025<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-33 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-27d68e60 elementor-invisible\" data-id=\"27d68e60\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;,&quot;animation&quot;:&quot;fadeIn&quot;,&quot;animation_mobile&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-3feb2550 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"3feb2550\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h3 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Authors<\/h3>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-64349875 elementor-invisible elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"64349875\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_animation&quot;:&quot;fadeIn&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>Nyongesa Fatuma Nandaha<\/p><p>Andanje Mulambula<\/p><p>Martha Muthoni Konje<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-column elementor-col-33 elementor-inner-column elementor-element elementor-element-47570e0f elementor-invisible\" data-id=\"47570e0f\" data-element_type=\"column\" data-settings=\"{&quot;background_background&quot;:&quot;classic&quot;,&quot;animation&quot;:&quot;fadeIn&quot;,&quot;animation_mobile&quot;:&quot;none&quot;}\">\n\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-wrap elementor-element-populated\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4c2bf738 elementor-tablet-align-left elementor-invisible elementor-widget elementor-widget-button\" data-id=\"4c2bf738\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_animation&quot;:&quot;fadeInLeft&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"button.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-button-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<a class=\"elementor-button elementor-button-link elementor-size-sm elementor-animation-shrink\" href=\"https:\/\/www.irejournals.com\/paper-details\/1709730\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-content-wrapper\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<span class=\"elementor-button-text\">VIEW ON PUBLISHER SITE<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/span>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/a>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-4ad19ad4 elementor-widget elementor-widget-heading\" data-id=\"4ad19ad4\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-widget_type=\"heading.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t<h2 class=\"elementor-heading-title elementor-size-default\">Abstract<\/h2>\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-element elementor-element-768f3edf elementor-invisible elementor-widget elementor-widget-text-editor\" data-id=\"768f3edf\" data-element_type=\"widget\" data-settings=\"{&quot;_animation&quot;:&quot;fadeIn&quot;}\" data-widget_type=\"text-editor.default\">\n\t\t\t\t<div class=\"elementor-widget-container\">\n\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<p>This paper critically reviews and assesses various mathematical and computational modeling techniques applied to analyze the impacts of climate change on water security. Emphasis is placed on integrating dynamic hydrological processes with contamination propagation under changing climatic conditions. The study employs a SWAT-SEIR-type model, analyzed by both analytical and numerical methods like the Fourth-Order Runge-Kutta (RK4) scheme, simulate water system dynamics and evaluate stability conditions, particularly focusing on the basic reproduction number R0 as an index of contamination spread. The analysis contributes to understanding the complex interplay between climate-induced stressors and water resources, providing a foundation for developing robust water security strategies in the face of climate change.<\/p>\t\t\t\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t<\/section>\n\t\t\t\t<\/div>\n\t\t","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>2025 Authors Nyongesa Fatuma Nandaha Andanje Mulambula Martha Muthoni Konje VIEW ON PUBLISHER SITE Abstract This paper critically reviews and assesses various mathematical and computational modeling techniques applied to analyze the impacts of climate change on water security. Emphasis is placed on integrating dynamic hydrological processes with contamination propagation under changing climatic conditions. The study [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"elementor_header_footer","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[16],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-9737","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-publications"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>Assessment of Mathematical Model for Predicting Climate Change Impact on Water Availability and Quality: A SWAT-SEIR Framework - School of Graduate Studies<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/kibu.ac.ke\/sgs\/assessment-of-mathematical-model-for-predicting-climate-change-impact-on-water-availability-and-quality-a-swat-seir-framework\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Assessment of Mathematical Model for Predicting Climate Change Impact on Water Availability and Quality: A SWAT-SEIR Framework - School of Graduate Studies\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"2025 Authors Nyongesa Fatuma Nandaha Andanje Mulambula Martha Muthoni Konje VIEW ON PUBLISHER SITE Abstract This paper critically reviews and assesses various mathematical and computational modeling techniques applied to analyze the impacts of climate change on water security. 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