{"id":1281,"date":"2020-11-27T08:53:26","date_gmt":"2020-11-27T08:53:26","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/fs.kibu.ac.ke\/?p=1281"},"modified":"2020-11-27T08:53:26","modified_gmt":"2020-11-27T08:53:26","slug":"an-seiqr-mathematical-model-for-the-spread-of-covid-19","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/kibu.ac.ke\/fs\/an-seiqr-mathematical-model-for-the-spread-of-covid-19\/","title":{"rendered":"An SEIQR Mathematical Model for The Spread of COVID-19"},"content":{"rendered":"<p><strong>Authors: <\/strong>Samuel B. Apima 1 and Jacinta M. Mutwiwa 2<br \/>\n1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Kaimosi Friends University College, Kenya.<br \/>\n2Department of Mathematics, Kibabii University, Kenya.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Abstract<\/strong><br \/>\nCOVID-19, a novel coronavirus, is a respiratory infection which is spread between humans through small droplets expelled when a person with COVID-19 sneezes, coughs, or speaks. An SEIQR model to investigate the spread of COVID-19 was formulated and analysed. The disease free equilibrium point for formulated model was shown to be globally asymptotically stable. The endemic states were shown to exist provided that the basic reproduction number is greater than unity. By use of Routh-Hurwitz criterion and suitable Lyapunov functions, the endemic states are shown to be locally and globally asymptotically stable respectively. This means that any perturbation of the model by the introduction of infectives the model solutions will converge to the endemic states whenever reproduction number is greater than one, thus the disease transmission levels can be kept quite low or manageable with minimal deaths at the peak times of the re-occurrence.<\/p>\n<p><strong>Keywords:<\/strong><br \/>\nBasic reproduction number, endemic states, locally asymptotically stable, globally asympto- tically stable.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Authors: Samuel B. Apima 1 and Jacinta M. Mutwiwa 2 1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Kaimosi Friends University College, Kenya. 2Department of Mathematics, Kibabii University, Kenya. Abstract COVID-19, a novel coronavirus, is a respiratory infection which is spread between humans through small droplets expelled when a person with COVID-19 sneezes, coughs, or speaks. An SEIQR [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":0,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-1281","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","hentry","category-uncategorized"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v26.4 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/wordpress\/plugins\/seo\/ -->\n<title>An SEIQR Mathematical Model for The Spread of COVID-19 - Faculty of Science<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/kibu.ac.ke\/fs\/an-seiqr-mathematical-model-for-the-spread-of-covid-19\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"An SEIQR Mathematical Model for The Spread of COVID-19 - Faculty of Science\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"Authors: Samuel B. Apima 1 and Jacinta M. Mutwiwa 2 1Department of Mathematics and Statistics, Kaimosi Friends University College, Kenya. 2Department of Mathematics, Kibabii University, Kenya. Abstract COVID-19, a novel coronavirus, is a respiratory infection which is spread between humans through small droplets expelled when a person with COVID-19 sneezes, coughs, or speaks. 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